Abstract:

Missiles are core weapons and equipment in the modern national defense system. Their technical levels and combat effectiveness are directly related to a country’s strategic deterrence capability， initiative to control the battlefield， and even bottom line of national security. According to the requirements of the combat scenario model for missile anti-jamming tests， following a series of core principles such as systematicness， practicality， stability， and dynamics， this study constructs an indicator system for evaluating the scenario model. The credibility of the model is evaluated by using the analytic hierarchy process （AHP） and the consistency ratio （CR） weighting method. Through standardized indicator quantification and weighted calculation， the adaptability of the model output results to actual requirements is ensured. Ultimately， a full-chain trusted closed loop from data input to decision output is achieved. This research provides a basis for missile anti-jamming tests.

Key words: missile, anti-jamming, combat test, scenario model, evaluation

摘要：

导弹作为现代国防体系中的核心武器装备，其技术水平与作战效能直接关系到国家的战略威慑能力、战场主动权掌控乃至国家安全的底线。根据导弹抗干扰试验作战场景模型需求，遵循系统性、实用性、稳定性与动态性相结合等一系列的核心原则，构建出其场景模型评估的指标体系。利用层次分析法和CR加权法，对模型的可信度进行评估。通过规范的指标量化与加权计算，确保模型输出结果与实际需求的适配性，最终实现从数据输入到决策输出的全链路可信闭环，为导弹抗干扰试验提供依据。

关键词: 导弹, 抗干扰, 作战试验, 场景模型, 评估